Our Work

We believe that the primary task for our generation is to build a new American strategy attuned to the pressing realities of our time. This framework must be comprehensive of the major regions and dimensions of U.S. power and interests. It must also be willing to challenge established wisdom and inertia in U.S. national security policy and related fields.

Zeitenwende – German Defence Policy in an Era of Great Power Conflict: Keynote Remarks

by Elbridge Colby

“The Zeitenwende is thus an historic and enormously commendable step by Germany, as it points in the direction of a truly collaborative solution to this global set of problems we as allies now face …”
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Strategic Sequencing: How Great Powers Avoid Multi-Front War

by A. Wess Mitchell

This paper examines how four great powers in history have handled simultaneity …
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Association of the United States Army LANPAC: Keynote Remarks

by Elbridge Colby

“Our empowerment, our bolstering of military efforts is focused on denial – a goal that is in the most basic sense defensive …”
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Economic Interdependence Will Not Deter U.S.-China War

by Christopher Vassallo

Economic ties linking the U.S. with China are insufficient to prevent a war …
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Realizing the Contact & Blunt Layers in Europe and Asia

by Elbridge Colby and Jakub Grygiel (with Yashar Parsie)

The purpose of this study is to provide a strategic framework for how the U.S. should think about and act toward allies and partners in an era defined by great power competition…
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August 11, 2022

Erin Molan: Australia can ill afford to overlook the threat of China

The Daily Telegraph (Australia) |  There are plenty of experts who believe that Taiwan isn’t the main target and that China is more likely to attack bigger (read the West) and do it quickly........

August 11, 2022

China’s ‘new normal’ for Taiwan raises fears for global trade

Al Jazeera | “If the Chinese impose a full or partial blockade, the United States should work with like-minded countries in Asia and beyond to ensure that Taiwan is resupplied with adequate critical goods,” Elbridge Colby, a former high-ranking US defence official, told Al Jazeera....

August 11, 2022

America Must Prepare for a War Over Taiwan

Foreign Affairs | Why isn’t the United States doing more to prepare for war with China over Taiwan—precisely to deter and thus avoid it?....

August 7, 2022

China has ‘incentives’ to ‘strike big and early’

Sky News Australia | Former US Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defence Elbridge Colby says he's worried about the possibility of China striking "big and early in a pretty surprising way", as laid out by NSW Liberal Senator Jim Molan....

August 4, 2022

‘Japan to triple its defense budget’: Former U.S. Defense official Bridge Colby

Nikkei Asia | The Fumio Kishida government is considering increasing defense spending at a pace that will not be able to counter the threat from China. Former US Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense Elbridge Colby, who is visiting Japan, said in an interview with the Nihon Keizai Shimbun on the 4th that the defense budget should immediately be tripled from the current level.......

August 3, 2022

Pelosi talks over Taiwan visit ‘outdated’, US experts fear

Asahi | U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi visited Taiwan. The Chinese government has warned that Pelosi will take "strong countermeasures" if she visits Taiwan, which is expected to increase tensions between the United States and China.......

August 2, 2022

Eagle eyes are on Taiwan, but is China distracting us from a ‘second Pearl Harbour’?

The Sydney Morning Herald | I turned to a well-regarded US strategist, Elbridge Colby, for guidance. Colby was the lead author of the US National Defence Strategy published in 2018.......

July 25, 2022

Canadian Global Affairs Institute: What is a Strategy of Denial?

Canadian Global Affairs Institute | How should countries deal with renewed power competition? Colin Robertson talks to Elbridge Colby's Strategy of Denial, and with John Gruetzner they explore the implications for Canada on #TheGlobalExchange.......

July 25, 2022

American Defense in an Age of Great Power Conflict

Hidden Forces | In Episode 261 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with Elbridge Colby, co-founder and principal of The Marathon Initiative, an organization whose mission is to develop the diplomatic, military, and economic strategies that the United States will need to navigate a protracted era of great power competition.......

July 23, 2022

Biden admin doing opposite of what it should do to avoid war with China: Defense expert

The Ingraham Angle | COLBY: I warned in a Wall Street Journal piece back in February that there was a real risk that Ukraine would be a distraction from China and Taiwan. And frankly, here we are........