Publications

October 1, 2022

Building a Strategy for Escalation and War Termination

The Marathon Initiative | This paper examines the necessity for the United States to formulate a theory of success in a conflict over Taiwan that includes denial but also indicates how to favorably manage escalation – that is, achieving its strategic-political goals without, at a minimum, precipitating a massive attack on the United States..…......
September 22, 2022

Classics and Strategy

The Marathon Initiative | Classic texts – whether by Roman historians such as Tacitus or Greek tragedians such as Aeschylus or Florentine diplomats such as Francesco Guicciardini – give us important, and even unusual, insights into strategy........
September 9, 2022

The Morality of a Strategy of Denial

First Things | America’s foreign policy needs to reorient. In my book The Strategy of Denial: American Defense in an Age of Great Power Conflict, I lay out what this approach should be....
August 29, 2022

Europe’s Emerging Vulnerability: A Secure Europe Needs Greater German Defense Efforts

Internationale Politik | The United States cannot handle all of the world’s potential conflicts on its own, and certainly not simultaneously....
August 25, 2022

Elbridge Colby: War with China or Russia increasingly plausible but Canada isn’t ready

National Post | The world needs more Canada. But, contrary to much current rhetoric, it needs more good, old-fashioned Canadian hard power. As much as anything, this means more Canadian military strength that can help better defend its allies — and itself — in a considerably more dangerous world........
August 19, 2022

America’s Industrial Base Isn’t Ready for War With China

The Wall Street Journal | The war in Ukraine should galvanize Washington policy makers. It has demonstrated that America’s defense-industrial base isn’t up to the job of supplying the U.S. military with weapons for a prolonged conventional conflict with a major power such as China.....
August 11, 2022

America Must Prepare for a War Over Taiwan

Foreign Affairs | Why isn’t the United States doing more to prepare for war with China over Taiwan—precisely to deter and thus avoid it?....
July 23, 2022

Elbridge Colby Quoted In Nikkei Asia

Nikkei Asia | Elbridge Colby, a former U.S. deputy assistant secretary of defense for strategy and force development, said that the situation over Taiwan is becoming increasingly dangerous and that Washington needs to be careful of the messages it sends......
July 1, 2022

China, Not Russia, Still Poses the Greatest Challenge to U.S. Security

The National Interest | Nothing that has happened since Russia’s abominable invasion of Ukraine has changed a set of facts: Asia is the world’s largest market area, and it is growing in global share.....
May 1, 2022

Association of the United States Army LANPAC: Keynote Remarks

The Marathon Initiative | “Our empowerment, our bolstering of military efforts is focused on denial – a goal that is in the most basic sense defensive"....