Publications

February 18, 2023

Bridging the Gap: Priorities for Transatlantic China Policy

Munich Security Conference | ASG, MERICS, and MSC decided to review the state of play and produced an update with the support of members of the reflection group as a contribution to the 2023 Munich Security Conference — “Bridging the Gap.”....
February 1, 2023

Resourcing the Strategy of Denial: Optimizing the Defense Budget in Three Alternative Futures

The Marathon Initiative | This study identifies the priority military forces and capabilities for the strategy of denial, identifies what extant forces and capabilities could be de-prioritized, and simulates three defense budgets under this rubric over the five-year defense planning period known as the Future Years Defense Program (FYDP)..…......
November 9, 2022

How America can save Taiwan

UnHerd | Current US policy is setting Washington up for a major crisis with its allies, especially in Europe...
November 1, 2022

Sharing the Load: Developing Better Strategies for Burden Sharing

The Marathon Initiative | The purpose of this study is to provide a strategic framework which the United States can use to lead to better burden sharing outcomes, in turn driving greater and more aligned efforts by Washington’s allies and partners.…......
October 11, 2022

Why Protecting Taiwan Really Matters to the U.S.

TIME | Why is it worthwhile for Americans to defend Taiwan? In very concrete terms, what’s in it for us? At this point, there is widespread agreement among Americans that China is a major threat and that U.S. policy needs to address it. At the same time, though, most Americans are rightly opposed to the forever wars of the past two decades and skeptical of more military interventions....
October 1, 2022

Building a Strategy for Escalation and War Termination

The Marathon Initiative | This paper examines the necessity for the United States to formulate a theory of success in a conflict over Taiwan that includes denial but also indicates how to favorably manage escalation – that is, achieving its strategic-political goals without, at a minimum, precipitating a massive attack on the United States..…......
September 22, 2022

Classics and Strategy

The Marathon Initiative | Classic texts – whether by Roman historians such as Tacitus or Greek tragedians such as Aeschylus or Florentine diplomats such as Francesco Guicciardini – give us important, and even unusual, insights into strategy........
September 9, 2022

The Morality of a Strategy of Denial

First Things | America’s foreign policy needs to reorient. In my book The Strategy of Denial: American Defense in an Age of Great Power Conflict, I lay out what this approach should be....
August 29, 2022

Europe’s Emerging Vulnerability: A Secure Europe Needs Greater German Defense Efforts

Internationale Politik | The United States cannot handle all of the world’s potential conflicts on its own, and certainly not simultaneously....
August 25, 2022

Elbridge Colby: War with China or Russia increasingly plausible but Canada isn’t ready

National Post | The world needs more Canada. But, contrary to much current rhetoric, it needs more good, old-fashioned Canadian hard power. As much as anything, this means more Canadian military strength that can help better defend its allies — and itself — in a considerably more dangerous world........