Publications

May 23, 2024

America must face reality and prioritise China over Europe

Financial Times | "Despite stirring rhetoric from leaders in Congress and the press, a foreign policy of US primacy is simply not possible. We do not have the military for it, and even if the budget were available, we could not field one in sufficient time........
May 11, 2024

Taiwan must get serious on defense

The Taipei Times | With each passing day, the threat of a People’s Republic of China (PRC) assault on Taiwan grows......
May 1, 2024

The Next Washington Consensus: The Security State and Its Rivals

American Affairs | Project states” have been directed at various sociopolitical missions in the past (the new War on Carbon is best seen as a successor to the War on Drugs and the War on Poverty),......
April 26, 2024

The U.S. Munitions Deficit Is a Political Problem

Foreign Policy | The best way to understand this lack of progress is as a form of collective action problem. Given the U.S. federal system’s grounding in a separation of powers..........
April 1, 2024

Broadening the Base: A Blueprint for Expanding Defense Industrial Capacity

The Marathon Initiative | The reform package best adapted to generate the broadest possible corporate and state-based coalition is by focusing on strengthening what this report designates as the defense industrial “sub-base” (DISB).…......
February 20, 2024

U.S. Hawks Must Finally Get Real About China

TIME | Hawks have been saying for decades that we are living in an incredibly dangerous world. That was an exaggeration twenty years ago but now is actually true...........
February 20, 2024

China’s “New” Diplomacy: Opportunities for American Statecraft

The Marathon Initiative | The People’s Republic of China has embarked on an ambitious diplomatic campaign to increase its influence in strategically-vital regions and burnish its credentials as a great power of global reach.…......
February 12, 2024

5 Rules for Superpowers Facing Multiple Conflicts

Foreign Policy | While the debate rages about how to handle what’s happening in Eastern Europe, the Middle East, and East Asia, it may be worth pausing to consider the situation from a historical perspective......
December 1, 2023

No Sanctuary: The PLA’s Kinetic Threat to the Homeland

The Marathon Initiative | Without adequate U.S. preparations, a large-scale—or even small but effectively targeted— PLA strike against the United States could be devastating, not only in terms of direct costs but on the ability of the United States to wage a war.…......
November 29, 2023

David Hale: Sino-American Competition, Global Strategy, and the Place of the Middle East

The National Interest | The pivot to East Asia is a rational maneuver much discussed over the past decades but of only recent and somewhat sticky execution..........