It doesn’t end with the balloon. US must leave Ukraine to Europe and prepare for conflict with China, security expert says

February 8, 2023

The Chinese reconnaissance balloon certainly had espionage tasks, but in the first place it was a diplomatic provocation, believes the former head of armaments at the US Department of Defense Elbridge A. Colby. According to him, there is no end to such provocations – what’s more, there is an ever more realistic threat of a direct military confrontation between the US and China over Taiwan. “It can happen before the end of the decade,” he says in an interview for


Elbridge Colby is co-founder and principal of The Marathon Initiative, a policy initiative focused on developing strategies to prepare the United States for an era of sustained great power competition.