China has no clear road map for Taiwan unification: U.S. experts

October 4, 2022

Elbridge Colby, one of the respondents and author of “The Strategy of Denial: American Defense in an Age of Great Power Conflict,” told Nikkei Asia that “Beijing will be willing to permanently accept the status quo if the alternative is humiliating failure.”

Noting that Beijing probably does not have a “drop-dead date” for solving the Taiwan issue and that it is flexible in its approach, Colby said there is a possibility that China could engage in an amphibious invasion of Taiwan in the next 10 years.

“If the U.S., Taiwan and Japan neglect the threat, I think the risk will be much higher. I think if we prepare to defend Taiwan, the risk will be much lower,” he said.

 Nikkei Asia

Elbridge Colby is co-founder and principal of The Marathon Initiative, a policy initiative focused on developing strategies to prepare the United States for an era of sustained great power competition.